Saturday, March 14, 2009

ELECTIONS-2009


The largest democratic excise in the world is again upon us. As we prepare for the General elections,2009 more than ever before the entire political setup is in flux. The largest parties have failed to get their act together and are sown by infighting and unreliable allies. We have a third front who have come together without any common agenda but just ti flex their muscles and make themselves relevant nationally.

India entered the coalition era when the congress lost it's foot hold and the appeal to the grand old party got waned in the popular mind. The first test of the third front was the Janatha Party led Government in the 70's which for the first time ousted the Indira Gandhi led Congress which at the time was resented by the people for the infamous emergency. But that experiment did not last long and the people again returned the Congress to power led by Indira Gandhi. After the death of Indira Gandhi, the mantle of power was taken over by her son, Rajiv Gandhi. Later the experiments of Coalition politics through up leaders like V.P Singh, Chandrashekar, Devi Gouda and I.K Gujral who due to the contradictions of the political parties did not last long as the Prime Ministers.

The political process and evolution by which the contour of Indian history has been significantly changed over the years. Congress which lost it's relevance as a national party and the BJP the principal opposition has to rely on the regional parties to cobble together enough seats to form a government at the centre.Now a small analysis of the three major political forces now entering the battle for the Elections,2009:

CONGRESS
The grand old party of Indian politics with a legacy of 120 years, still relies heavily on the Dynasty to pull them through. Could not ever create a credible leader base which can fight out with out the charisma of the Nehru-Gandhi Dynasty. Going to battle with the anti-incumbency factor weighing heavily against them with many unreliable allies including the NCP sitting in the wall to jump to the other side. Heavily dependant on the kitchen cabinet. The strength is that they have a strong second rung leaders. Banking heavily on Rahul to pull themselves through

BJP
Probably the weakest at the time, dogged by internal rivalry and factionalism, ditched by key allies and dithering on the tracks, hugely counting on the Charisma of Advani to get them the power. Advantage has that they have a strong bank of leaders for the future like Narendra Modi and others who shall ensure the revival of the party. BJP should understand that they are ruling not just Hindus but India as a whole which also includes Christians and Muslims. My choice of the party, the recent Social Policing by affiliated elements has tarnished the image of the party. Should work hard to regain lost support of the middle class.

THIRD FRONT
The reg tag coalition of 10 odd parties with 8 Prime Ministers waiting in the wing, bound to be a non starter from the beginning. Greatest weakness is that no single party has a national base and national agenda, come together just to ex cert the influence nationally which shall not last long. Constituents shall become the king makers of which ever coalition comes to power.

Generally it is predicted that the elections of 2009 will not throw any majority for any party. Political instability is bound to arise but with it will be the evolution of politics in India to a more mature phase.

ASPIRATIONS OF A CITIZEN
The ordinary citizen seeks a Government that is just their cause, bring social order, work for common good of all, is not communally biased and bring security to all. Should take steps to elevate the sufferings of the poor. Sounds too Utopian, but such a day will surely come some day.

As an Indian Citizen, it is our bounden duty to make sure that only the best are elected to the Parliament. Nothing comes in a day. But let us make a beginning. Exercises your vote judiciously and elect only the best.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

TALIBAN IN SWAT



Well, I am back with another blog, my second this year. Lately my professional commitments had kept me well away from the net. Many things have happened in world during this time, The Satyam Fiasco, The Malegaon probes, the advent of the Hindu Social Moral enforcers and many more. I hope to deal with the subjects in detail in the future.

As my first subject, I am dealing with the rise of Taliban in Pakistan.The Pakistan Government has given control of a large part of the country to the Taliban. The Taliban, literally meaning "Students" are a band of rag tag militia that found it's origin in the Afghanistan and was one of the predominant force there until ousted by the American lead operations post 9/11. These militants are dominated by Pusthoon tribals . Notorious for the following of the strictest following of Islamic laws which is even severe by normal standards, they never got recognition in Afghanistan and soon became very unpopular due to their brutal ways. they also never got international recognition expect from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and UAE.

After their ouster, they regrouped and became a potent force fighting the NATO led alliance in Afghanistan. They also started dominating the political land scape of Pakistan especially in NWFP. They finally got legal recognition in the form of the agreement with the Government of Pakistan which gave them administrative control over a huge territory.

Now such an agreement will have far reaching consequences not only for Pakistan but for the rest of the world at large especially India. Pakistan is no ordinary country. Pakistan is dangerous because she is armed with nuclear fangs. If the march of Taliban is not arrested, then there is every chance they may run over Pakistan and in the process the nuclear arsenal will fall into their hands . India should also be really concerned because the Taliban in the door step will give fresh impetus to the insurgency in the Kashmir valley and also the terrorism in the rest of India.

After the deadly attacks on 26/11 in Mumbai , India launched a diplomatic offensive against Pakistan. Pakistan on it's part put the defense of total denial until the deadly Lahore attacks on 3/3 took place. Now Pakistan has become the nucleus of Global terrorism. It is also undeniable that the Diplomatic pressure tactics of India has not borne fruit and the perpetrators of 26/11 still roams free in Pakistan. Pakistan on it's own is slowly slipping to anarchy. Such a situation will be the perfect breeding ground for religious fundamentalism and may pave way for the growth of Taliban in Pakistan as a Pan-Pakistan movement. It is time we woke up to the reality. It is time India changed it's strategy and started taking steps including "by all means necessary", lest the time may come when the damages done will be irreparable for India and the rest of the world

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