China’s rapid military modernization has transformed the People’s Liberation Army into one of the most technologically advanced forces in the world. New aircraft carriers, fifth-generation fighter jets, long-range missiles, cyber units, and space capabilities have fuelled narratives that China is approaching military parity with the United States and overwhelming superiority over regional neighbours. Yet beneath this image of relentless expansion lies a profound strategic constraint that Chinese planners have not resolved: geography, politics, logistics, and economic realities severely limit Beijing’s ability to sustain simultaneous major conflicts. Nowhere is this more evident than in the possibility of a two-front crisis involving Taiwan in the east and India along the Himalayan frontier in the west.
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